Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000616 0.000699 0.000787 0.000886 0.000996 0.001113 0.001246
2026-01-18 0.000481 0.000595 0.000724 0.000879 0.001059 0.001263 0.001507
2026-01-25 0.000415 0.000544 0.000696 0.000886 0.001117 0.001385 0.001719
2026-02-01 0.000362 0.000499 0.000668 0.000887 0.001161 0.001489 0.001908
2026-02-08 0.000308 0.000447 0.000624 0.000861 0.001166 0.001541 0.002031
2026-02-15 0.000267 0.000405 0.000588 0.000840 0.001174 0.001593 0.002153
2026-02-22 0.000237 0.000377 0.000566 0.000835 0.001199 0.001666 0.002301
2026-03-01 0.000214 0.000353 0.000548 0.000833 0.001226 0.001741 0.002451
2026-03-08 0.000190 0.000328 0.000526 0.000821 0.001239 0.001796 0.002576
2026-03-15 0.000169 0.000303 0.000503 0.000807 0.001247 0.001842 0.002689
2026-03-22 0.000160 0.000296 0.000504 0.000828 0.001303 0.001954 0.002893
2026-03-29 0.000149 0.000286 0.000500 0.000839 0.001345 0.002049 0.003074
2026-04-05 0.000134 0.000269 0.000483 0.000832 0.001362 0.002109 0.003211
2026-04-12 0.000121 0.000252 0.000467 0.000825 0.001376 0.002165 0.003345
2026-04-19 0.000113 0.000243 0.000462 0.000832 0.001413 0.002255 0.003526
2026-04-26 0.000104 0.000232 0.000452 0.000833 0.001439 0.002328 0.003686
2026-05-03 0.000091 0.000212 0.000428 0.000808 0.001424 0.002341 0.003757
2026-05-10 0.000081 0.000196 0.000408 0.000788 0.001416 0.002363 0.003842
2026-05-17 0.000073 0.000186 0.000397 0.000783 0.001430 0.002419 0.003977
2026-05-24 0.000067 0.000177 0.000388 0.000781 0.001449 0.002481 0.004123
2026-05-31 0.000061 0.000166 0.000374 0.000770 0.001453 0.002520 0.004234
2026-06-07 0.000054 0.000155 0.000360 0.000757 0.001452 0.002551 0.004333
2026-06-14 0.000052 0.000154 0.000364 0.000776 0.001506 0.002669 0.004567